Together with the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just more than three weeks away, it’s time to begin having a look at the betting odds for the card. Two streaks on the card already have lines released, and they’re about as different as can be. In the main event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the guy he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first battle, Barao closed as a massive -910 favorite (bet $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male member dominated that first battle, scoring a fifth-round TKO in among the biggest statistical upsets in UFC history. This moment, the chances are much closer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the small underdog at +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight extra bouts on the card which up until now did not have gambling lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas altered that today as he published the complete UFC 177 betting odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ————– MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I actually desire Bethe Correia to win this particular fight, just so that I do not have to hear anything about the absurd”Four Horsewomen” ever again. Nevertheless, Correia hasn’t faced anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler is able to sift through Correia’s striking and drag this fight to the floor where she’ll have a distinct advantage. The greatest worry for me is about Baszler’s long layoff and injury woes of late, and it can be more than enough to keep me from gambling her. Tony Ferguson seems like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the feet several times prior to, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuani, he will not have the ability to fall back on his wrestling here if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This ought to be very competitive in all areas, but Ferguson has minor edges that ought to propel him to success. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late night makes him seem more like a 37-year-old. He looked totally listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was quickly dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the flip side, Derek Brunson supplied the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s livelihood in his latest bout. It feels like Larkin was really overvalued as a potential while at Strikeforce, while Brunson was overlooked. This is a very difficult bout to call regarding a side or a total, so I’ll probably stay out completely. On the other hand, I believe Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling advantage , but even that is questionable. Ferreira is the much greater entry grappler, and likely even the better striker at this stage (though Nijem’s improvement in that respect last time outside was nice to see). I anticipate Ferreira to find the win, and likely put another end on his resume from his entry abilities or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo consistently made for fascinating bouts when he was confronting completely overmatched competition, so he’s up against a valid test in Scott Jorgensen, I must admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical advantages here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling edge, obviously. He may not have the well-rounded skill set to stop Jorgensen, but I think he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the vital tests for prospects in his final outing too, becoming broken square to the jaw and shaking it off to win not only the combat, but round as well. The major question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Perhaps being signed by the UFC was the impetus he had to start taking the sport seriously, as in his past appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he has been coasting at times. Against Jorgensen he might not have the ability to get away with a half attempt, and when he does it will make him much more particular. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came to UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been able to control and outhustle competitions to pick up choices. That will be hard against Ruslan Magomedov, that really possesses decent cardio for a heavyweight, to go together with his strong striking. Coming off of nearly a year layoff, it’s hard to expect much from Odoms, therefore that I expect Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is somebody I fully expect to fade if he could get a couple more wins and confront adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too fast, and should almost be snuffed out at this stage. His striking defense looked atrocious against both Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, and his submission game was practically non-existent as he had been exploited within seconds of hitting the ground against Miller. Maybe that could work to the advantage of his backers against Justin Edwards nevertheless, as Edwards really isn’t UFC caliber, even at this point. Edwards has a good guillotine, rather than many different skills, therefore Medeiros has this struggle to win as long as he does not dive into that weapon. Edwards will probably come out fast, since he should know that a win will indicate the conclusion of the UFC employ. Speaking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will probably be shown the door as well, since both place on putrid dislpays in their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not too talented — grappler, although Hamilton showed enormous holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the flip side, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was put out with one shot on the floor against Soa Palelei. Either man could complete this fight quickly and I would not be surprised, or else they could play it safe and we can be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. In case the price for this bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I might just take a shot there in hopes the bout is of the hilariously bad variety, but I can’t see myself putting considerably more than Monopoly money down with this competition.
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